Thomas Karzakos, Secretary General of the International Chamber of Shipping (ICS), photographed following the joint release of the Seafarer Workforce Report 2026 by ICS and BIMCO. As the industry confronts critical crewing shortages, Karzakos continues to lead global efforts to strengthen seafarer recruitment, training, and retention.

India’s emergence as the world’s second-largest supplier of seafarers should resonate far beyond the pages of international maritime statistics. For East Africa, it must serve as a strategic wake-up call. According to the BIMCO–International Chamber of Shipping (ICS) Seafarer Workforce Report 2026, India now supplies approximately 311,936 maritime professionals—representing 12.16 per cent of the global seafaring workforce and placing it second only to the Philippines. India has overtaken China, having risen from just 5.2 per cent of the global workforce in 2015. The significance of this development extends well beyond India’s borders. It demonstrates that a nation can deliberately build a globally competitive maritime workforce and transform human capital into a thriving export industry.

For East Africa, this raises a question we can no longer afford to postpone: Why should a region with a vast youthful population, a strategic Indian Ocean coastline, major ports, extensive inland waterways, and a growing Blue Economy continue to supply so few seafarers to the international merchant fleet? The answer lies not in a shortage of young people, but in a deficit of strategic coordination, investment, sea-time opportunities, structured recruitment, internationally competitive training, and a coherent regional policy for developing maritime human capital.

India’s Achievement Is About Policy, Not Population Alone

It would be tempting to dismiss India’s rise as the inevitable consequence of its demographic size. That would be a grave miscalculation. India’s maritime workforce has expanded from roughly 125,000 seafarers a decade ago to more than 300,000 today. Its Directorate General of Shipping explicitly identifies the development, regulation, welfare, certification, and global mobility of seafarers as a national maritime priority. India is now actively seeking to increase its share of the world’s seafaring workforce even further. That is the real lesson. India has treated seafarers not merely as job-seekers, but as strategic maritime human capital. East Africa urgently needs this same mindset.

A Growing Global Deficit—and an Extraordinary Opportunity

The BIMCO–ICS report estimates that approximately 2.57 million seafarers currently serve on roughly 85,148 merchant ships worldwide. More critically, the global industry faces a projected shortage of 39,100 STCW-certified officers in 2026, while by 2030 the industry will require an additional 113,735 officers to operate an expanding world merchant fleet. This represents an extraordinary opportunity for Africa. The global shipping industry is signalling that qualified maritime professionals will become increasingly valuable. Yet East Africa is not moving with the urgency that this market opportunity demands.

East Africa Has the Geography. Where Is the Human-Capital Strategy?

The region sits astride one of the world’s most important maritime corridors. The Western Indian Ocean connects East Africa to the Middle East, Asia, and Europe. The Port of Mombasa serves Kenya and a substantial hinterland extending into Uganda, Rwanda, South Sudan, the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, and beyond. Dar es Salaam and other Tanzanian ports provide another major gateway into the continent’s heart. Djibouti commands the entrance to the Red Sea and one of the world’s most strategically vital maritime chokepoints. Mozambique plays an increasingly significant role in energy and maritime trade, while Somalia, Seychelles, Mauritius, Madagascar, and Comoros form part of a broader Western Indian Ocean maritime ecosystem.

East Africa therefore possesses something that many potential seafarer-supplying countries would envy: strategic maritime geography combined with a large labour force and expanding maritime activity. Yet geography alone does not create seafarers. Training does. Sea time does. Certification does. Recruitment networks do. And above all, government policy does.

The Biggest Obstacle Is Not Training—It Is Access to the Sea

East African countries have maritime training institutions and are increasingly investing in modern curricula, simulators, and professional certification. Kenya, for example, has established a significant maritime education and training ecosystem, while the Kenya Maritime Authority continues to regulate approved training institutions, medical practitioners, and licensed seafarer recruitment and placement agencies. Kenya also introduced updated Merchant Shipping (Training and Certification) Regulations in 2026. Tanzania is similarly strengthening its maritime education, training, and certification system. In May 2026, Tanzania underwent an inspection by the European Maritime Safety Agency focusing on quality systems, course approvals, instructor and assessor qualifications, certification, medical standards, and assessment of competence.

These are important developments. But the fundamental problem remains: a classroom certificate does not make a professional seafarer. Sea service does. A young person can complete maritime college, obtain STCW certificates, and pass the necessary assessments, but without structured access to an ocean-going vessel, that person can remain permanently trapped at the entry level. This is where East Africa needs a radical policy rethink.

Sea Time Must Become a National Economic Priority

For many aspiring East African seafarers, the most difficult part of the journey begins after graduation. They need onboard experience to progress towards higher qualifications, but shipowners often demand previous sea experience before offering employment. This creates a vicious circle: no sea time because there is no job; no job because there is no sea time. This is not a personal failure by the young seafarer. It is a structural failure of the maritime labour system.

India’s experience demonstrates the importance of building an ecosystem that connects training, certification, recruitment, and employment. East African governments should therefore establish national and regional sea-time programmes that deliberately place cadets and junior ratings on merchant ships, ferries, offshore vessels, port craft, research vessels, and other suitable platforms. Governments could negotiate structured training berths with national and international shipowners, establish incentives for companies that carry East African cadets, and incorporate sea-time obligations into public procurement and maritime concessions where appropriate. The region should also examine whether vessels benefiting from government contracts, port concessions, maritime infrastructure projects, or other state-supported commercial arrangements could contribute to structured cadetship and apprenticeship programmes. If we are serious about creating maritime employment, sea time cannot remain an afterthought. It must become maritime infrastructure.

Kenya and Tanzania Should Lead a Regional Seafarer Revolution

Kenya and Tanzania bear a particular responsibility, given their maritime infrastructure, geographic proximity, and institutional capabilities. The two countries should move beyond bilateral recognition of maritime qualifications towards a regional East African Seafarer Mobility Framework. Such a framework could facilitate the portability and recognition of qualifications, improve information sharing, standardise selected training practices, strengthen quality assurance, and create a larger pool of qualified maritime professionals available to international shipping companies.

The region already has evidence that cooperation works. In September 2025, the IMO brought together simulator instructors and assessors from Eastern and Southern Africa at Bandari Maritime Academy in Mombasa to strengthen simulator-based seafarer training under the STCW Convention. Participants included professionals from Kenya and Tanzania alongside other African countries. Tanzania has also called for stronger participation by developing countries in the review and validation of IMO model courses—an important reminder that African maritime states should not merely implement international standards but should also contribute to shaping them. The next logical step is to transform such cooperation into a permanent regional maritime human-capital program.

East Africa Should Stop Competing and Start Pooling Its Maritime Resources

There is little economic sense in Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, South Sudan, Somalia, Ethiopia, and other regional states developing fragmented maritime training and employment systems in isolation. The region should consider creating an East African Maritime Human Capital and Seafarers Development Program. Such an initiative could establish a regional seafarer database, harmonised competency and quality-assurance frameworks, mutual recognition of selected maritime qualifications, a regional cadetship and sea-time scheme, joint maritime simulation and training facilities, instructor and assessor exchange programs, regional seafarer recruitment and placement networks, scholarships for disadvantaged coastal and inland youth, women-in-maritime scholarship and employment programmes, a regional maritime labour market information system, and coordinated engagement with global shipowners and crewing companies. This would transform seafaring from isolated national employment programmes into a regional export industry.

The Landlocked Countries Must Not Be Excluded

East Africa’s maritime workforce strategy must not be confined to coastal communities. Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, South Sudan, and parts of eastern DRC may not have ocean coastlines, but their economies depend heavily on maritime transport. Ugandan and Rwandan cargo passes through Mombasa and Dar es Salaam. Their economies are therefore part of the maritime supply chain. Moreover, Lake Victoria and other inland waterways provide opportunities for developing professional inland-waterway crews, marine engineers, boat operators, logistics specialists, surveyors, and maritime safety professionals. The distinction between “coastal” and “inland” maritime human capital should therefore disappear from regional policy. East Africa should think of itself as a single maritime labour market.

The Port of Mombasa Should Become a Seafarer-Export Hub

Kenya has an opportunity to position Mombasa as a regional centre for maritime human capital. The Port of Mombasa is not simply a cargo-handling facility. It is an enormous maritime ecosystem involving shipping lines, agents, terminal operators, pilots, tug operators, marine engineers, surveyors, logistics providers, ship chandlers, repair facilities, maritime regulators, and thousands of workers. This ecosystem should be deliberately connected to maritime education and training. The same principle applies to Dar es Salaam. The two ports could become the anchors of a Mombasa–Dar es Salaam maritime skills corridor, linking maritime colleges, universities, shipping companies, ports, recruitment agencies, and regulators. Instead of asking how many tonnes of cargo our ports handle, policymakers should also ask how many globally employable maritime professionals does each port ecosystem produce? That would introduce a much more meaningful measure of the Blue Economy.

We Need to Move from Training People to Creating Careers

For too long, African maritime policy has measured success by the number of people trained. That is an inadequate measure. A training institution can graduate hundreds of students every year and still contribute very little to the maritime economy if graduates cannot secure sea service, certification progression, and decent employment. The real indicators should be: how many graduates obtained sea time? How many progressed to Certificates of Competency? How many secured international employment? How many became senior officers? How many entered shore-based maritime professions after sailing? How much foreign exchange did they generate? How many women entered and remained in maritime careers? These are the indicators that matter.

East Africa Must Invest in Officers, Not Only Ratings

India’s growth also contains an important warning. The global maritime workforce faces a shortage of officers even as the supply of ratings is comparatively stronger. The BIMCO–ICS report forecasts that the industry will require an additional 22,747 officers and 8,475 ratings annually through 2030. East Africa therefore cannot build its maritime employment strategy around entry-level ratings alone. The region needs a deliberate pipeline from cadet to master mariner, chief engineer, electro-technical officer, and senior maritime professional. That means expanding higher-level nautical science, marine engineering, and electro-technical education; improving simulator facilities; strengthening instructor capacity; and ensuring that cadets have access to the sea time required to progress. The objective should not simply be to produce more seafarers. It should be to produce more competent officers and maritime professionals capable of commanding ships, managing fleets, and shaping the future of the industry.

The Blue Economy Cannot Succeed Without a Blue Workforce

East African governments frequently speak about the Blue Economy as a major source of economic transformation. That ambition is correct. But the Blue Economy is not simply about fisheries, tourism, ports, offshore energy, or marine conservation. It is also about people. A country that owns a port but imports foreign maritime expertise has only captured part of the maritime value chain. A country that trains seafarers but cannot place them on ships captures another small portion. The real prize lies in developing an integrated maritime industrial ecosystem in which East Africans can work as seafarers, ship managers, naval architects, marine engineers, port managers, maritime lawyers, marine surveyors, hydrographers, logistics professionals, maritime IT specialists, shipbrokers, offshore technicians, and maritime safety experts. That is how the Blue Economy becomes a genuine development strategy rather than a slogan.

The Private Sector Must Be Part of the Solution

Governments cannot solve the maritime employment challenge alone. Shipping companies, shipowners, port operators, crewing agencies, maritime colleges, universities, and financial institutions must be brought into a common framework. Shipowners need competent crew. Training institutions need access to real operational environments. Young people need sea-time opportunities. Governments need employment and foreign exchange. The interests are therefore aligned. The missing ingredient is coordination. East Africa should establish a regional maritime human-capital compact involving governments, shipowners, ports, training institutions, regulators, seafarers’ unions, and development partners. Such a compact should set measurable targets for the number of cadets and junior ratings to be placed annually, the number progressing to officer certification, the number of women recruited, and the number of East African seafarers placed on international vessels.

Seafarers Must Be Treated as Workers, Not Commodities

There is another lesson East Africa must draw from the global seafarer market. The export of maritime labour must never become an excuse for exploitation. As countries compete to supply the global shipping industry, they must protect seafarers from recruitment fraud, excessive placement fees, wage exploitation, abandonment, unsafe working conditions, and inadequate welfare. The Maritime Labour Convention, 2006, must be more than a document sitting in government offices. Seafarers are ambassadors of their countries abroad. They are also skilled professionals whose labour keeps approximately 85,000 merchant ships moving around the world. Their rights, welfare, mental wellbeing, safety, repatriation, and decent working conditions must therefore remain at the centre of maritime labour policy. Kenya’s publication of updated lists of licensed seafarer recruitment and placement agents in 2026 is an important step towards creating a more transparent employment environment. But regulation must be accompanied by effective enforcement and seafarer awareness.

The Region Should Establish a Merchant Navy Training Board

East Africa also needs to confront institutional fragmentation. A national or regional Merchant Navy Training Board could provide a structured mechanism for coordinating maritime education, cadetship, sea-time placement, industry participation, and workforce planning. Such an institution would bridge the gap between maritime colleges and the shipping industry. It could also maintain a central register of cadets awaiting sea service and work directly with shipowners to allocate training berths. Tanzania’s Maritime Education and Training Fund already provides an interesting policy example. Its 2025/26 programme supports maritime education and training, including approved seagoing service required for Certificates of Competency. This is the kind of intervention East African governments should study and expand.

The Economic Opportunity Is Enormous

The strategic value of seafarers extends beyond salaries. Internationally employed seafarers bring foreign exchange into their home economies. They support families, finance education, invest in housing and businesses, and develop technical and managerial skills that can later be transferred to shore-based industries. A large, well-trained maritime workforce can also attract ship management companies, crewing agencies, maritime insurers, training providers, marine technology firms, and other businesses. India’s achievement should therefore be viewed not merely as a labour statistic. It is an example of human-capital industrial policy. East Africa should develop its own version.

A Regional Maritime University Could Be Transformative

The region should also seriously consider establishing a Regional Maritime University for Eastern Africa, drawing lessons from successful maritime education models elsewhere in Africa. Such an institution could specialise in advanced maritime education, research, postgraduate studies, simulator training, maritime law, marine engineering, shipping economics, port management, marine environmental science, digital shipping, and maritime policy. It could serve Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Somalia, Djibouti, and the wider Western Indian Ocean. The goal should be to develop a regional centre of excellence that produces not just seafarers but maritime leaders.

East Africa Cannot Afford Another Lost Decade

The maritime industry is undergoing profound change. Decarbonisation, alternative fuels, autonomous shipping, digitalisation, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, advanced navigation systems, and increasingly sophisticated vessel technologies will transform the skills required aboard ships. The seafarer of tomorrow will need much more than traditional seamanship. East Africa must therefore train people for the ships that will exist in 2030, 2040, and 2050—not merely the ships operating today. The International Maritime Organization’s regional capacity-building programmes already demonstrate that East African institutions can work together. Recent programmes have brought together maritime professionals from Kenya, Tanzania, and other African countries to strengthen simulator training, maritime security, flag-State implementation, and regulatory capacity. The foundation exists. What is missing is the scale of ambition.

Conclusion: India Has Shown the Way. East Africa Must Find Its Own Path.

India’s rise to the position of the world’s second-largest supplier of seafarers is a remarkable maritime human-capital story. But East Africa should not attempt to copy India mechanically. The region’s history, geography, institutions, labour markets, and economic structures are different. The opportunities are different. The challenges are different. Yet the underlying principle is universal. A nation that does not deliberately invest in its maritime human capital will forever remain a bystander in the global maritime economy.

East Africa has the coastline. East Africa has the ports. East Africa has the inland waterways. East Africa has the youth. What it has lacked, until now, is the vision, coordination, investment, and policy commitment to transform these assets into a globally competitive maritime workforce. The global shipping industry is signalling that the demand for qualified maritime professionals will grow. The opportunities are there for those prepared to seize them.

The question for East African governments, policymakers, maritime institutions, shipping companies, and development partners is simple: Will we continue to watch from the shore as others command the global maritime workforce? Or will we finally build a regional maritime human-capital strategy that matches our geography, our population, and our aspirations?

The wake-up call has sounded. The time to respond is now.

Recommendations Summary

Based on the analysis presented, East African stakeholders should consider the following priority actions:

1. Establish national and regional sea-time programmes to place cadets and junior ratings on merchant vessels, ferries, offshore platforms, and port craft.
2. Create an East African Maritime Human Capital and Seafarers Development Programme to pool resources, harmonise standards, and coordinate regional maritime workforce development.
3. Position the Port of Mombasa and Dar es Salaam as anchor institutions for a Mombasa–Dar es Salaam maritime skills corridor.
4. Develop a deliberate pipeline from cadet to officer by expanding higher-level nautical science, marine engineering, and electro-technical education.
5. Formalise Recognition of Prior Learning (RPL) policies to provide career pathways for experienced seafarers lacking formal certification.
6. Harmonise occupational standards for ratings (Navigation Watch STCW II/4 and II/5; Engine-room Watch STCW III/4 and III/5) and coxswain qualifications (III.II, III.I, and II).
7. Establish a regional Merchant Navy Training Board to bridge the gap between maritime colleges and the shipping industry.
8. Protect seafarers’ rights and welfare through effective enforcement of the Maritime Labour Convention, 2006, and transparent recruitment practices.
9. Include landlocked countries in maritime workforce development, recognising their dependence on maritime transport and inland waterway opportunities.
10. Consider establishing a Regional Maritime University for Eastern Africa to produce maritime leaders and advance maritime research and policy.
11. Engage the private sector through a regional maritime human-capital compact with measurable targets for cadet placement, certification progression, and employment.
12. Train for the future fleet by preparing seafarers for decarbonisation, digitalisation, autonomous shipping, and emerging vessel technologies.

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